| Taking
Insurance
Its a widely accepted rule that you pass on taking insurance
against the dealer ace in most instances.
Statistically, its a bad bet since it pays 2 to 1 and the dealer
will have blackjack only about 31 percent of the time. Players of casino
blackjack would only take insurance if they were counting cards and
knew the odds were in their favor.
Tournament blackjack players, however, will be forced to take insurance
for other reasons.
Lets look at a few of these:
Shadowing or Covering
Or more simply matching an opponents bet. Consider, for example,
that you lead a foe by $5 on the final hand and act last. You both have
bet the same amount and he takes insurance against the dealer ace. Now
you should do the same to ensure your opponent doesnt beat you
if the dealer turns over blackjack. You will now win on the dealer blackjack
and even if the dealer doesnt turn over a 10, your opponent will
need a swing to win the tournament.
Going for a Half Swing
If you are pretty far behind late in the blackjack tournament and most
players have big bets out on the table, you could try to catch up by
losing that is, breaking even on the hand while the others lose
their bets. The way to do that is by taking insurance on the ace if
your big bet has been matched around the betting circles. You are probably
better off in most instances trying to win insurance than splitting
or doubling here (and hoping you are not shadowed by other players.
This play works best if you are one of the last to act).
Hedging Risk
You may want to take insurance to keep a solid footing against the field
in the latter stages of a blackjack tournament. In this example, you
have $25,000 and decide to make a $5,000 bet. There are three players
in the field who have between $26,000 and $30,000. You are dealt a 20
and the dealer shows an ace. Taking insurance here is not a bad play
for three reasons: 1) you protect your large bet against blackjack,
2) you are still likely to win $2,500 with your made hand if the dealer
doesnt have blackjack, and 3) the dealer stands a good chance
of drawing to a made hand if he doesnt already have one, beating
the other players who are ahead of you.
By Johnny Kampis
Online Blackjack Expert
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